Edwards Could Win the 2008 Nomination

Kerry did it. Gephardt did it. Others have done it too. Now, we have Edwards, admitting his vote for the war was a mistake:In an interview after the UNC speech, Edwards finally utters the words he'd assiduously avoided during the last campaign: "I voted for the resolution," he says. "It was a mistake." So far, so good. But he goes on, "The hard question is, What do you do now? Looking back, it's easy to say that it was wrong and based on false information. Anybody who doesn't admit that isn't honest, and that's the truth." So what now? "I myself feel conflicted about it," Edwards replies. "But we have to find ways--and I don't mean just yanking all the troops tomorrow--but we have to find ways to start bringing our troops home. Our presence there is clearly contributing to the problem." So does he agree with Senator Russ Feingold that Washington should set a withdrawal deadline? "No. Even if we're going to say that internally, that we're gonna have our troops out by X date, there's no reason to announce that to the world. I think that's probably a mistake." He doesn't agree, either, with Senator Clinton's call for more US troops to finish the job? "No sir!" Edwards says, sitting straight up in his chair. "Did she really say that?" Kudos to Senator Edwards. I could definitely support him in a primary now (not that I am saying I will). Best of al, most of the 2002-2004 congressional leadership has now admitted that their vote in favor of the resolution was a mistake. But it's not over yet. Clinton, Daschle, Reid and Schumer are just some of the Dems who need to come clean and admit the obvious. Going into Iraq, and supporting the invasion of Iraq, was indeed a mistake.

I bet that this will cause Edwards's already rising stock among the netroots and other Democratic activists to continue to soar. I would also argue that Edwards making this admission vaults him into the top tier of candidates. He is at least the equal of Clinton right now when it comes to chances to win the nomination. Further, as more and more candidates begin to come clean on Iraq, a steadfast hawk like Clinton could quickly see her stock drop even before the 2006 midterms take place.

Bravo, Senator Edwards, Bravo.

Tags: Democrats (all tags)

Comments

79 Comments

I could support him as well
I have ruled out several of the likely candidates (Clinton, Biden, Bayh), but Edwards still would get my serious consideration before I make a decision. Warner would as well.
by desmoinesdem 2005-11-10 12:28PM | 0 recs
Too Little, Too Late
John Edwards not only voted for the Iraq War Resolution, but he also co-sponsored it.  He was definitely on the hawkish side of the 2004 Democratic field.  Also, is John Edwards still a member of the DLC?  
by whodat527 2005-11-10 12:33PM | 0 recs
DLC
No
by Paleo 2005-11-11 04:35AM | 0 recs
Re: DLC
Do you have a link where he renounced his membership in that organization?  
by whodat527 2005-11-11 05:44AM | 0 recs
Hillary
She's so finger-in-the-wind that by next month she'll probably also have disavowed the war, previous position be damned. She'll also have found a way to make it clear that she was the first to take this position.

I've always had Johnboy at the #2 position on my IRV ballots. I guess he's still going to stay there as long as Feingold is on the ballot, but it's definitely another boost for him.

by Crazy Vaclav 2005-11-10 12:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Hillary
That's why Hillary won't get the nomination.  The BS factor is going to be very high come 2008, and Democrats won't fall for political expediency.  Being comfortable in your own shoes and coming across as believable will be the key to winning, as it always is, and I think we are finally smart enough to nominate someone who fits those characteristics.

God I hope so.  

by Eric11 2005-11-10 01:51PM | 0 recs
Daschle
already did...the other day I believe
by rafadex 2005-11-10 12:38PM | 0 recs
Re: Daschle
Cool. Got a link?
by Chris Bowers 2005-11-10 12:43PM | 0 recs
Re: Daschle
Speaking Wednesday at Northwestern University, Daschle also said he had been given "misleading information" by the Bush administration about Iraq's weapons before the war, but said he could not go into specifics.

"I wish I could share with you the misleading information I personally was provided in September and October of 2002," he said in remarks scheduled for delivery at Northwestern University in Evanston.
...
"So on many different fronts, we were misled, and I think that has caused the American people to take a vastly different view of the war than they initially had," he said.

He didn't use the word mistake.

From: http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/chi-051102daschle-story,1,6651487.story?ctrack=1&cset=t rue

by msn1 2005-11-10 12:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Daschle
LA Democrat did a diary about Daschle... He was promoting him as a viable candidate, which received a lot of dissent, but he did mention that Daschle admitted he was wrong.

http://www.mydd.com/story/2005/11/7/17512/6659

by yitbos96bb 2005-11-10 01:33PM | 0 recs
Warner-2008
Democrats should not select any sitting or former US Senator or House Member who had to cast a vote on the Iraq War Resolution as the 2008 Democratic Presidential Candidate.
Voters who regret voting for the Iraq War Resolution ie Hillary,Kerry,Edwards,Daschle and Bayh. They voters can be easily labeled as flip-floppers. Feingold- who voted against the War in Iraq can also be vulnerable if the public's view on Iraq changes. Democrats need to nominate a Washington Outsider- perhaps a Governor- who has rarely discussed the Iraq Issue.
The candidate is Mark Warner.
Warner- is a one term Governor of Virginia- a southern State- a la Jimmy Carter- who also was a one term Governor of a Southern State- Georgia before getting elected to the Whitehouse in 1976.
As Governor- Warner did not have to deal with foriegn policy issues- Back in 2002- Warner was never asked about his views on Iraq.

Lets nominate a Presidential Candidate that does not have a paper trail.

by CMBurns 2005-11-10 01:05PM | 0 recs
Re: Warner-2008
Again, Carter is probably not the best person to compare Warner too, given the dismal failure of his presidency (which he made up for in spades since them.)... last thing you want is Warner to be labeled as the next carter.
by yitbos96bb 2005-11-10 01:35PM | 0 recs
Re: Warner-2008
True, but the poster does have a good point.  Warner, as with all governors, does not have a firm voting record that the opposition can point to and attack.  This is especially true for foreign policy.  Warner would be a great nominee.  My fear is he may not be liberal enough for some (along with him and Edwards stealing too many votes from each other, and thus cancelling each other out) but given time, I think he may be able to prove people wrong.  

As for people who believe we need a person with foreign policy experience or a military background to gain the nomination, Warner still can fit the bill.  The military employs more people from the state of Virginia then any other state, and Warner has worked closely with the military during his term.  

He can pass that type of "litmus" test (gosh I hate that phrase).  

by Eric11 2005-11-10 01:57PM | 0 recs
Re: Warner-2008
What if I say Warner as a 2008 Presidential Candidate will resemble Jimmy Carter- A former One term Governor from a Southern State Getting elected to the White House. But as President will be like Bill Clinton- a successful charismatic two term Democratic President.

Jimmy Carter was the Last Democratic Presidential Candidate to win with more than 50% of the Popular vote.

by CMBurns 2005-11-10 02:01PM | 0 recs
Re: Warner-2008
Don't give up on Jimmy Carter. Despite him being long in the tooth, I'm floating the idea to Greens to approach him about the 2008 nomination. I saw him on PBS the other night. He looks great for his age and hasn't lost a step mentally. He would be guaranteed to get a podium in the debates and would also be an attractive option for those who have grown tired of Repug Lite.

I'm not sure the Greens are that smart or that former President Carter would be willing but I am certain it would pull the direction of the election to the left, something that will be badly needed in the event that either Governor Warner or Senator Clinton are the eventual Democratic party's nominee.

by Seldom Seen Smith 2005-11-10 04:54PM | 0 recs
Re: Warner-2008
Jimmy Carter is a Democrat.
by zt155 2005-11-10 05:02PM | 0 recs
Re: Warner-2008
I was too for a quarter century until I crossed the line to the Green Party. I cast my first vote in a presidential election for President Carter in 1980. I'd love to see him on the podium in a presidential debate one more time.  
by Seldom Seen Smith 2005-11-10 05:15PM | 0 recs
Re: Warner-2008
Carter is a good man.  But even HE has said his presidency was a failure.  And it was.  I just don't want ANY candidate tied in with that failure.  Since his loss however, he has been a phenomenal leader and one of our greatest Americans.  I am glad that the last 25 years are more defining his legacy than his presidency.  He is a great example what an ex-president can accomplish.
by yitbos96bb 2005-11-10 08:21PM | 0 recs
Let's compare the evangelical peanut farmer
to the high tech entrepreneur.
by Cyt 2005-11-10 06:50PM | 0 recs
Re: Let's compare the evangelical peanut farmer
Conservative Warner vs. Liberal Populist Carter. I'm game.
by Seldom Seen Smith 2005-11-10 07:11PM | 0 recs
Re: Let's compare the evangelical peanut farmer
I know you are a green, but if that happens it only takes Dem votes and will probably give us another GOP presidency.  I respect anyone's right to vote for whom they want, but I will always harbor some ill will for the 100,000 or so people who voted for Nader in Florida.  I hope now they actually can see that there was a difference between Bush and Gore... Yes I am sure many would change their votes if they knew what the outcome was, but still.  I respect their right to do it, but I think those votes hurt a lot of people.
by yitbos96bb 2005-11-10 08:25PM | 0 recs
Re: Warner-2008
Right, I know that... any intelligent person knows that... unfortunately many of our fellow voters are not intelligent nor care about politics.  

And lets hope if Warner gets the nom, he would be like CLinton, minus the embarassing sex scandal.

by yitbos96bb 2005-11-10 08:19PM | 0 recs
Re: Warner-2008
I believe the poster was pointing to Carter's strong election victory of getting 50%+ of the votes. Not on how he governed as President.

Personally, I think the Repugs are going to attack Edwards as a Flip-Flopper big-time( remember John Kerry). Secondly, he has a light resume & may have trouble carrying his own home state. ( remember Al Gore)

IMHO, I'd still go with either Gov. Mark Warner or Gen. Wes Clark. Neither one of them has a Voting Record to Defend or be attacked on. Either of them can realistically carry their home state of VA or AR. Either of them would UNITE the various wings of the  Democratic Party.

Running together as a Team would even be better.
Warner/Clark or Clark/Warner.

by labanman 2005-11-11 03:56AM | 0 recs
makes sense
i support myself for president in 2008.  I don't have a voting record to defend or be attacked on.  I am totally immune from flip-flopping charges.  The public will have no idea what they're getting when they elect me.
by Valatan 2005-11-11 05:51AM | 0 recs
So what you're saying
is that we should run a stealth candidate for president?  We rightly bitch about Republican stealth candidates all the time.  Nominating someone without a record isn't honest to the American people (c.f., republican convention, 2000).  Voters should be able to get a clear idea of what they're voting for.

give me someone who I know, who is competent in their job, and who speaks knowingly and intelligently on the issues.  

Contrary to popular opinion, Kerry didn't lose because he was a Senator.  He lost because he is physically incapable of communicating ideas to people.  Clinton won because he was good at communicating, and bush I was not.  

by Valatan 2005-11-10 08:54PM | 0 recs
I'm warry
I'm not sure about this sudden realization that it was wrong. It's easy to admit a mistake when the polls favor making such a admission. But when the admission was needed, the polls were still against it. It just seems to coincide with the political wind change a bit too much for me to be convinced and jump on the mill worker's son's band wagon.

Maybe I'm just overly critical, as it is good that Democrats are publicly admiting their vote was a mistake, but if the war suddenly became popular again tomorrow, say due to another terrorist attack, would these Dems then recant their admission for fear of looking weak?

Baby steps I guess. They are admitting the mistake. But it's also much easier to do now.

by michael in chicago 2005-11-10 01:05PM | 0 recs
Re: I'm warry
No I agree with you.
by yitbos96bb 2005-11-10 01:36PM | 0 recs
Let's not forget: Edwards co-sponsored the War
I agree with you.

Saying that It Was a Mistake is nearly not enough.

Something like It was a colossal blunder on my part to have co-sponsored an Iraq War Resolution, and voted for one, and relinquishing presidential ambitions is more like it.

By co-sponsoring an Iraq war resolution, Edwards promoted the Iraq War. Please see here.

by NeuvoLiberal 2005-11-10 03:20PM | 0 recs
I can forgive him for that for one big reason..
Saddam killed literally millions of people..

But he's a secure, moral enough man to be flexible and admit that we made a mistake when we need to. Unlike some Texan village idiots I could name..

But most importantly, Edwards is a moral man..

by ultraworld 2005-11-10 05:14PM | 0 recs
Edwards looks like a WINNER..
bigtime.. Thats why they HATE him..
by ultraworld 2005-11-10 05:16PM | 0 recs
Not exactly.
Who is "they"?

As for looking like a winner, his credentials pale compared to many other possible candidates. For instance, why would he be a better candidate than John Kerry?

by NeuvoLiberal 2005-11-10 07:03PM | 0 recs
Re: Not exactly.
Well, resume wise no... but stump wise and charisma wise, yes.  I just think there are better people out there.
by yitbos96bb 2005-11-10 08:27PM | 0 recs
Re: Not exactly.
Edwards didn't conceed an election.
by Gary Boatwright 2005-11-10 08:29PM | 0 recs
Re: Not exactly.
While I liked him on election night when he said 'we will make sure that every vote is counted', Edwards totally underperformed during the campaign itself, as far as anyone could see.
by NeuvoLiberal 2005-11-11 06:13AM | 0 recs
Re: I can forgive him for that for one big reason.
"But most importantly, Edwards is a moral man.."

Leaving aside the IWR vote for a moment, why is he any more moral than any other? In whose and in what scale?

In fact, in my scale, by promoting the unwarranted and hence immoral war, he is less moral than those that didn't promote it, or opposed it.

by NeuvoLiberal 2005-11-10 06:50PM | 0 recs
indeed
i feel exactly the same way.  it's easy to go against an unpopular war, but it's not easy to take a principalled stand and oppose it in the first place.
by annatopia 2005-11-10 05:00PM | 0 recs
Re: indeed
You said it much better than I did with half the words.
by michael in chicago 2005-11-10 05:38PM | 0 recs
Re: indeed
The edwards moment for me, came when he was in this mobile trailer home thing CNN had set up and he looks to these two cnn interviewers, who are asking him how he's going to win, and he turns to them and says "Thats up to y'all" wink wink nod nod.

Edwards wants us stupid, and sitting in front of the TV. I really think he's got to go stronger than this or he won't get my vote, thats for sure. I'm leaning towards big sky democrats right now. I guess you could say Edwards is sort of a "blue sky" democrat. Hey isn't that North Carolina?

by turnerbroadcasting 2005-11-11 03:38AM | 0 recs
Re: I'm warry
I dunno.

I mean, really.  I haven't been heavily into all the politicese of exactly how to say all this stuff.

But it seems like all these guys gave proper deference to the office of the Presidency, assuming that the holder of that office was acting in a way that properly honored the Presidency.

Period.

So all this "mistake" and "not a mistake" stuff just doesn't make sense to me.  The war wasn't a mistake.  It was deliberate fraud.  These Senators and Representatives were conned.  There's no responsibility or accountability to be taken here by Edwards or the other guys.  The only thing they're really to blame for is that they didn't call Bush a fucking stain on the office of the Presidency sooner.  And honestly, I can understand the political realities that might have kept them from doing so.

If you guys honestly believe that most of these Democrats were actually signed on to the war back then, then that's where I get off the bus.  Very few Democrats were gung-ho about it.  They were just in a political bind, trying to figure their way through it.  We can excoriate a U.S. Senator for not standing on the steps of the Capitol and calling their popular wartime President a fucking fraud on live TV, knowing that no matter how much leadership and charisma they attempted to show, they'd be run out of town, but really.  Any honest Democratic politician that was actually committed to playing the game and trying to affect change from within the system wouldn't have signed up for such a hollow victory.  So what if they're proven right four years later?  They'd get no recognition.  It's like a newspaper retraction printed on page A18.

by tunesmith 2005-11-10 07:08PM | 0 recs
Re: I'm warry
by the way, I'm just throwing that out there.  I do think there were more possibilities for pointing out that Bush was possibly lying early on.  But my main point is that it just doesn't seem right to be painting this as our Democratic leaders having a change of heart about the war vote.

I like how Rockefeller explained his vote.

by tunesmith 2005-11-10 07:11PM | 0 recs
Re: I'm warry
Tunes, you make a really good point. The war is NOT a mistake, it was an impeachable offense against America. Check this out..

http://www.cnn.com/2005/US/11/10/iraq.intel/index.html

This is saying that the reports that were feeding into the administration's position were saying from TWO SOURCES that Iraq wasn't really set up for anything. In fact, as early as the year before another report is saying that Iraq didn't have any dry powder and the guy who was telling them that they did was a liar.

Cheney was known to have been behind the scenes bullying people around to try to get the right faked up intelligence (note: there's no difference too here when it comes to science, they do the same thing to global warming folks.)

Its such a complete pattern. Stop and think about it. They claim the UN needs a milk-mustachioed bully and when the Senate won't stand for it they do this: when the senate goes away for one week of vacation they appoint him.

Dude. This was a good post. Thanks.

by turnerbroadcasting 2005-11-11 03:44AM | 0 recs
Shouldn't Edwards...
Shouldn't a man who is a potential nominee for President have an idea that his main opponent said we should add more troops?  That seems like something Bush wouldn't know...
by yitbos96bb 2005-11-10 01:38PM | 0 recs
WARNER IS UNSTOPPABLE......
should he run! Let's face it...we want to win and beat the BeJesus out of the GOP while doing it. We know none of the Iraq voting Dem Senators can do that cos for every repenting vote they lose some swing voters. We don't just want to win we also want to win those so-called redstates (or at least make the GOP pay a price to defend them). And I dare say this..most of us are not going to rollover and play dead if Warner doesn't explicitly agree withh the netroots position on the Iraq war. As far as I'm concerned, we HAVE NO PRAYER of chaging anything in this country if we don't have the WHite House and we are not stupid enough to nominate someone who has less than a stellar chance of delivering it...my $.02
by dantata 2005-11-10 02:06PM | 0 recs
Re: WARNER IS UNSTOPPABLE......
Well, I wouldn't go that far.  McCain is a scary candidate.  I do think Guiliani would lose to warner though.  THe election is 3 years away.  A lot can happen.

Warner is a strong choice but not unstoppable.

by yitbos96bb 2005-11-10 08:30PM | 0 recs
Re: WARNER IS UNSTOPPABLE......
True..I got carried away a bit. You are right a lot can change between now and election day (see how Kaine overtook Kilgore in VA weeks before election day). I would say on either side Warner is the strongest, followed by Clinton and Bayh in that order and on the GOP side it would be Mark Sanford, followed by McCain..yes, you did not misread..I have no doubt that Mark Sanford of SC will beat McCain in the GOP primary if both ran. Not only that..Mark Sanford I believe will be probably hold the south (except VA) against Warner
by dantata 2005-11-11 05:22AM | 0 recs
Re: WARNER IS UNSTOPPABLE......
Sanford?  Over Allen or Huckabee?  I just can't see that happening.  I still have McCain in the strongest position currently, followed by Allen (a party favorite) and Romney (just based on the Rove rumors).  It will come down to one of those 3, with Huckabee as the dark horse replacing Allen.  It will all depend on what the GOP does after 2006.  If they are soundly beaten, I can see them getting behind McCain in order to pull a lot of the moderate vote for the 2008 congressional races.

As far as our side, Clinton is in the strongest position right now.  You are way overestimating Bayh though... He and Warner are going to end up competing as the anti-hillary, and I will put money that Warner beats him.  

At this point, I would say HRC is strongest, followed by Warner, and then Edwards.

At the end of things though, I think Edwards will fade in favor of Warner... especially given Edwards pro-war vote.  But he is charasmatic enough to succeed.  Our final 3 will be:

HRC
A progressive voice (Clark, Feingold, or Edwards...depending on how he positions himself)
An anti-hillary (Warner or Edwards (if he positions himself that way)... Bayh can't compete with the charisma of either.)

by yitbos96bb 2005-11-11 07:45AM | 0 recs
Chris...
I have a question about philly blogging. Do you have an email I could write you at?
by pwtrue 2005-11-10 02:49PM | 0 recs
Re: Chris...
Its actually on the front page at the botton of the blog.

chris -at- mydd.com

by yitbos96bb 2005-11-10 08:40PM | 0 recs
I'm about 80-85 percent good with JE...
But I worry about the media-darling build-up.

It seems to me the press wants to see him do well because they like him. And the media love to tear down what they irrationally build up.

I'm not saying that supporting him is irrational by the way. My observation is on the media.

Every serious candidate hits rough patches.

Clinton talked his way out of them, Bush strong-armed his way out (present situation still in flux).

But those two had a bad relationship with the press and had pretty much invented themselves. Edwards is kind of a media invention so far. That worries me.

New on EWM: "Rove out, Rover in."
Scaled down agenda includes a "war on gingivitis" and plans to occupy Aruba.

by The Muse 2005-11-10 03:26PM | 0 recs
Winning the nomination
I think the post's title is pretty presumptuous. A candidate calling the Iraq War vote a mistake doesn't make or break whether or not they'll get the nomination.

After all, HRC will undoubtedly be a major contender during the primaries and could win the nomination (though I doubt it), and she is still trying to "triangulate" this thing.

However, this does make Edwards look a lot better. I still think he doesn't have what it takes to be a serious presidential contender in a general, but I think he should be holding some high office, or perhaps a cabinet position.

by LiberalFromPA 2005-11-10 03:34PM | 0 recs
Edwards for AG N/T
by annatopia 2005-11-10 05:03PM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards for AG N/T
Great idea.

But I think Sec. of Housing and Urban Development would be great for him. Not high profile, but certainly suits his vision and would be a place where he could have great impact.

by LiberalFromPA 2005-11-11 06:08AM | 0 recs
that would be good, too
i doubt edwards's sincerity on some issues, but i do not doubt for one moment that he really cares about the poor in america.  the man needs to be in whatever office where he could affect the greatest change in the status of poor americans.
by annatopia 2005-11-11 07:27AM | 0 recs
Edwards was my choice in 2004
No one in our field was ideal. That was painfully obvious and made 2004 always look somewhat doubtful. The war votes could not have been lower on my radar, then or now. My handicap is that it takes a special charismatic nominee to oust an incumbent, not an impressive resume. Only Reagan and Clinton have ousted incumbents in my lifetime. I never understood how anyone could handicap John Kerry as more akin to that group than an upbeat likable populist like John Edwards. He had sway potential while Kerry did not. Winning national elections is always mostly about preference, stealing from the other camp not GOTV or motivating your base. Plus Edwards has teflon via charisma, looks and likability. That is always underestimated. Swift Boating crap doesn't stick if the target can brush it aside with a warming grin and clever sound bite retort.

I'm still very high on Edwards but Warner is atop my list due to the electoral realities. Edwards cannot win North Carolina, at least not in a 50/50 race. If he wins his home state then it's irrelevant because he's sweeping everything by popular vote semi-rout. 2008 becomes 2000 and 2004 all over again if Edwards tops the ticket, needing Ohio or Florida or the unlikely straight flush sweep of smaller states. Elections with the party in charge for exactly two terms are historically virtual coin flips, an armageddon power struggle and among the closest decisions in American history. Any notion we have a decided edge in 2008 is wacko. Just look at 1960, 1968, 1976 and 2000. All changes in power but photo finishes. The other example post WW II is 1988, a simple hold of serve for the party in charge. So I almost completely discount any idea we can win big. The idea is finding the candidate most likely to win the electoral college in a 50/50 popular vote atmosphere.

Warner flings open the margin for error aspect via big chance to win Virginia and its 13 electoral votes and that's huge. I'm sick of playing from behind. When we need Ohio or Florida or bust it's like a PGA golfer dependent on catching Tiger Woods from 3 back starting the final round of a major. Yeah, you can root and pretend all you want but not going to happen. I want the lead and that's Warner.  

by jagakid 2005-11-10 03:47PM | 0 recs
Old news
I was in the audience last week and he said it was a mistake...and I even blogged about it as well...just not in the diaries but if you look through one of Dr. Chuck's postings, you'll find something there.
by kydem 2005-11-10 04:01PM | 0 recs
Re: Kentucky-My thoughs on Evan Bayh
Kentuckybayh,

I think hands-down Evan Bayh has the most impressive resume among all the candidates. And I mean both Dem & GOP.
The only candidate with BOTH impressives Executive & Legislative handson experience.

Two term Governor, Two term Senator in one of the MOST Red States in America ( especially on nat'l elections)

Got more votes than George Bush in last year's election in this state.

Has impressive polls numbers in Indiana even among Republicans, not to mention 65-75% approval among Indiana Democrats & Independents ( He has VERY STRONG Crossover appeal)

Polls show he would be favored to carry his Red State if he was the nominee.

Let's face it, if this guy was a progessive, he would be the darling of the Democratic Progressive base. But then again, he would NOT be this 70% + approval rating, popular Democrat in the Very Red State of Indiana if he was a Liberal.

But I personally admire Democrats who are able to withstand challenges election after election in conservative Red States despite being regularly targeted by their powerful State GOP organizations. Not to mention manage to be highly popular in their states. The Ben Nelson', Evan Bayh's, Mark Warner's, Mike Easley's, Brad Henry's, Brian Sweitzer's,  Blanche Lincoln's,  Mark Pryor's, etc.

While I hate the Joe Leiberman's & the Joe Bidens. They have NO EXCUSE whatsoever in their Blue states!

What's Evan Bayh's BIGGEST obstacle that he will have to overcome??????

Strong distate from a segment of the Liberal base within our party. Strong opposition from a segment of the Activist base of the party.

If he is to last until the last round or becomes the nominee, he would have to work his butt off in order to UNITE the wings of the party.

But with that said, I think he would be a VERY STRONG General Election candidate. He would have STRONG appeal to moderate Republicans & Independents. Team him up with a Clark or a Warner- that would be one hard to beat General Election Democratic ticket.

For now, trying to get enough moderate Democrats to support him in the primary will be his biggest challenge.

He will have to pull off what then moderate Gov. Bill Clinton did in 1991-1992.

by labanman 2005-11-11 04:26AM | 0 recs
Re: Kentucky-My thoughs on Evan Bayh
Yeah, but there is ONE major difference between Bayh and Clinton.  Clinton had a phenomenal charasmatic personality that won people over.  Bayh is a hard worker, but doesn't have that personality.  I have seen him speak, and it is almost KERRY dry.  
by yitbos96bb 2005-11-11 07:48AM | 0 recs
Re: Kentucky-My thoughs on Evan Bayh
I've long been a fan of Bayh/Warner or Bayh/Clark.
by kydem 2005-11-11 11:35AM | 0 recs
Re: Kentucky-My thoughs on Evan Bayh
Evan Bayh- is probally the most experienced and most electable presidential candidate in 2008.
He is from Indiana- a Solid Republican State in the Border Midwestern State- that has a southern mentality. He is a former two-term Governor and a current two term US Senator of Indiana. He won the last 3 Statewide Elections in Indiana with more than 60% of the popular vote. Bayh also have at least a 65% Job Approval rating among Indiana Voters- I think he is just as popular as the other US Senator from Indiana- Dick Lugar(R).
Bayh is a former Governor and a current Senator- He is both Executive and Legislative Experience. Last four Presidents were Governors. National Security experience is going to be a big criteria in 2008- Bayh is a US Senator- serves on the Foriegn Relations and Intelligence Commitee.
Bayh- is a fiscal moderate and a social liberal.
90% liberal voting record from the ADA-Americans for Democratic Action
20% conservative voting record from the American Conservative Union-
That is good dispite the fact Bayh is from a Solid Red state
Other Democratic Senator's form Solid Red States
Mary Landrieu-LA- 85% liberal voting record from the Americans for Democratic Action.
Max Baucus-MT- 85% Liberal voting record
Ben Nelson-NE- 65% Liberal voting record
Tim Johnson-SD- 85% Liberal voting record
by CMBurns 2005-11-12 06:24AM | 0 recs
I call bullshit on Edwards
This guy is nothing but a cipher. He says what he thinks is popular. This guy is so superficial on defense issues, he couldnt even conquer Cheney -who was on a 2 year gaffethon regarding the war - in that debate and you would think a so called high powered lawyer would have the advantage in a debate.

Well its great he can admit it before Hillary did. THat just means he is not as mediocre as we thought he was. He is just a little mediocre.

You want someone who doesn't want to take the trouble to face the truth. Watch him avoid a protestor in that Pelosi documentary on HBO. He has no answers for the guy and his eyes just glaze over.

Sorry, but I felt he was one of the worst candidates in last year's primary. All he talked about was the 2 americas crap.

Even his latest admission has many qualifiers "oh would could have guess it was lies." bullshit man. We did.  

by Pravin 2005-11-10 04:32PM | 0 recs
Are we talking 2008
or 1968? Didn't work then - won't work now. The only reason this string of Democrats is waffling now is because they smell blood and are trying to either revive or enhance their political fortunes. Don't be fooled. Stay the course with those who had the courage to stand for their convictions against this illegal war when the shit hit the fan.  
by Seldom Seen Smith 2005-11-10 04:39PM | 0 recs
Hindsight vs. Foresight
I'm not going out of my way to congratulate people like Edwards, Kerry, Rockefeller and others on the "it was a mistake" bandwagon. So they finally get what Russ Feingold, Bob Graham, Wesley Clark and uber liberal Brent Scocroft got beforehand - it was a really bad idea. It was a really bad idea EVEN IF SADDAM HAD WMD. He was contained. Thank god BushCo (and Kerry, Edwards, Clinton) were wrong about WMD because the US never secured the conventional explosives in Iraq, let alone any WMD stores. Do you congratulate your kids for preaching the virtues of not sticking forks in electrical sockets AFTER they are shocked? No you don't. Because those are the stupid kids. You are happy if they don't hurt themselves but you leave instructions on what to do in an emergency with the other kid, the one that didn't have to stick the fork in the socket to find out it was a terrible idea.

I want a President that has good foresight, not hindsight. That leaves HRC, JK, JE, and JB on the outside looking in...

by joejoejoe 2005-11-10 05:10PM | 0 recs
Re: Hindsight vs. Foresight
You forgot about Bayh.  He falls in the crowd with Clinton.

So that leaves CLark and Feingold and maybe Richardson, Warner and Vilsack.  I am not sure the governor's positions... I have TRIED to find Warner's but I give him credit... he did a damn good job of not putting anything definitive out there.

by yitbos96bb 2005-11-10 08:48PM | 0 recs
Re: Hindsight vs. Foresight
Warner on the war:
LAMB: Where are you on the Iraq war?

WARNER: Where I am on the Iraq war is I think Democrats ought to spend less time re-fighting how we got into the war and more time figuring out where we go from here. I think the president has a responsibility as our commander-in-chief to be more forthcoming about his plan about how we finish.

But I think a couple of things. I think, number one, you know, I don`t believe an arbitrary deadline should be set. I think we, regardless of whether we like how we got there, we need to finish the task.

by kydem 2005-11-11 11:39AM | 0 recs
Edwards vanished......
Come on, almost as soon as he was named as a running mate for Kerry, Edwards all but DROPPED OFF THE RADAR SCREEN never to be seen or heard from again in 2004.  He's a pretty boy with no real personality, and does not have the charisma to really move the masses, or even energize the Democratic base.  Secondly, good, bad or ugly, his wife was carved from the same butt ugly mold this nation got Barbara Bush from...Kerry's wife might have been controversial at times, but at least she was not sore on the eyes, and made the campaign trail a bit interesting.

Say what you want about Hilliary, but at least with her and Bill, we know we have and attractive packaged couple to present to the media.

Sure some of getting really upset about now, but sorry, like it or not, a lot of running elections is about public image, and for whatever reasons, the Democrats in 2004 seemed bent on trotting dog after ugly dog out as our political pundits.  Can't we find a few folks to put in front of the camera's that have looks to go along with their ability to address the issues?  The Republicans trot out Jeanine Pirro and Ann Coulter (of super bitch fame), and we counter with two over the hill, middle aged fat chicks...it just does not look good.  May not be fair, but our message is lost, as most of the folks at home are sitting in their barko loungers guzzling a beer and making fat jokes instead of hearing our parties talking points.  Even Diane Feinstein (California Senator) who gets a lot of air time on CNN is getting more than a bit long of tooth, and Boxer is not bad looking, but is starting to get that rolling flesh look and English Bull Dog.

by NYDragon 2005-11-10 05:19PM | 0 recs
an aside about admitting the mistake
I am glad Edwards admitted he was wrong. I think that was the right thing to do, however it kind of got me thinking... by admitting the mistake in voting and co-sponsoring (!)the IWR he (or whoever is doing the admitting) automatically draws attention to the resolution itself. This hurts that particular candidate in two ways. A) it high lights the fact they were wrong on a HUGE issue and B)it exposes them to the, "if it were up to John Edwards Saddam would still be torturing innocent people" line of attack that we all know is BS but still carries a certain sting. John Edwards admitted he was wrong, good for him the right thing to do. Doesn't make him my pick for the nominee.  

Someone mentioned this upthread from here, Warner has a huge advantage in not having cast a vote on the IWR or having staked out a major position. This will allow him to enter the Iraq debate(if he is the nominee) from an advanced position with hopefully a coherent strategy on moving forward that emphasizes how to get out. I am not sure what they have on public record but I think this advantage would also apply to Vilsack and Richardson. Personally, I am not crazy about those two but its something to think about.

by dre2k5 2005-11-10 06:11PM | 0 recs
I am leaning toward Wesley Clark if he runs
Sorry- too easy to do it now- although I do give him cred for doing it all- versus HRC and others
by bruh21 2005-11-10 06:40PM | 0 recs
Anyone but Clinton for Me!!!
Edwards, Clark, Gore(wishful thinking I know), anyone but Hillary.  After 8 years of America's own personal living hell with Bush, I don't know if we could handle a Repug wanna be like Hillary.  Best thing would be to stay away from the DLC all together.
by sweetm2475 2005-11-10 07:32PM | 0 recs
It takes a big man to admit he made a mistake
Especially if they are a politician. I don't understand what all the skepticism and suspicion is all about. Do we want to encourage all of the rest of the warmongers to refuse the error of their ways?  

I also give Edwards credit for this bold statement:

Looking back, it's easy to say that it was wrong and based on false information. Anybody who doesn't admit that isn't honest, and that's the truth.

That applies equally to Republicans and Democrats. Anyone who hasn't admitted they made a mistake, by the end of the year at the latest, is too ethically challenged to be President. It is time to  make it perfectly clear to everyone that there is absolutely no uncertainty about Iraq being an illegal and immoral war.

Anyone who talks smack about "values" in any context who hasn't admitted the truth about Iraq in no uncertain terms is a hypocrite and a liar. Anyone who is not capable of recognizing and speaking out against the immoral depravity of Bush's Iraq war has no conscience and is not fit to lead.

by Gary Boatwright 2005-11-10 08:01PM | 0 recs
the Chris Rock standard
So he's not completely wrong about Iraq any more. What does he want, a cookie? He's not supposed to be completely wrong about Iraq!

This doesn't qualify him for the nomination, it just removes a disqualification.

by morinao 2005-11-10 11:29PM | 0 recs
saying sorry for war
saying sorry for war is like running over several thousand people with your vehicle and saying "oops".
by goplies 2005-11-11 12:04AM | 0 recs
Read the Whole Article
Chris linked to the article about Edwards in the Nation.  The entire article is incredible.  Edwards is easily the most progressive Democrat that will run in 2008 on economic issues.  Now I know that a lot of people on this site who consider themselves progressive are anti-war progressives but are perfectly fine with Clinton-corporate-Republican lite economic policies, and thats fine.  But for me, building a country and a world of social and economic justice is my passion and Edwards is the best national politician on these issues since Robert Kennedy (senior).  

Was he wrong on the war?  Yes.  Was it clear that he was wrong at the time in 2002?  In my opinion, yes.  But I dont consider this a horrible "sin" on his part because Im sure there were all kinds of intelligence people telling the Senate that (1) Hussein had all kinds of WMDs and (2) that he would never let inspectors into the most vital areas to find out.  While these two facts would not have made me vote for the resolution because of my complete distrust of Bush even then, I can not blame a Democrat on moral grounds for going the other way.  In short, supporting the War resolution in 2002 was a mistake, a bad one, but not a moral flaw.

And for those of you who think Edward is a guy who only goes with the flow, how do you explain his consistent passion to eliminate poverty?  If you think Edwards is doing this because it is "good politics" then Edwards is either the greatest or the worst politician in history because NO ONE that makes up the "conventional wisdom" thinks that.  Clearly, Edwards is basing his whole career on fighting poverty because he believes in it passionatly, not out of political calculation.  Believe me, if supporting this issue was a political winner, the Clintons would be all over it.

To me, the great disgrace of the Democratic Party has been out total and utter failure to address issues of class and poverty since the late 1960s. Every year we try to get the votes of low income and hard working middle income Americans by being a little better on budget issues or taxation issues.  Edwards is the first national Democrat in 40 years who has made economic justice the centerpiece of his campaign, which is where the national party should have been this whole time.

Like you anti-warriors, I have a litmust test too.  But mine isnt just Iraq.  I am not going to support any "Democrat" who is not totally committed to fighting for the working poor and struggling lower portions of the middle class, I dont care how good he or she is on the war.  

by Andy Katz 2005-11-11 04:03AM | 0 recs
Re: Read the Whole Article
Thank you for saying this, I feel exactly the same. I can understand why people are so concerned by Iraq but I can also understand how you vote for a war when the president is providing intelligence that says the enemy has WMD's and you know that their leader gasses his own people to death. It's easy to be anti-war now but it was not an obvious position three years ago I think.

How anyone - right or left wing - can make gay marriage their litmus test, though, is completely beyond me. It's unbelievable considering what else is at stake.

by Populism2008 2005-11-11 06:57AM | 0 recs
Feingold trumps Edwards, though
Poverty: Tie, maybe slightly going to Edwards since it's his one, signature issue, but nobody can deny that Feingold's stances are identical to Edwards
War: Feingold leads the charge and has been since the beginning vs. a man who co-sponsored the resolution for war
Civil liberties: Compare Patriot Act votes here
Experience: Ex-one term senator vs. current senator in his third term (plus was in the state senate before that).  Feingold wins without a fight
Is a winner: Feingold has never lost an election-Edwards has only won one in total (and probably would have lost re-election to his senate seat too had he ran in 2004)

Edwards should run for governor (and win) if he wants to be taken seriously as a presidential canidate (sometime after 2008).

by Geotpf 2005-11-11 01:09PM | 0 recs
Two Reasons Why I Prefer Edwards Over Feingold
First, is just a "gut feeling." I know Edwards connects in his gut with working people.  Feingold, I dont know.  I will take your word for Feingold's views on poverty, but Ive never really heard him talk about poverty or economics at all really.  His first signature issue was campaign finance reform.  He has been great on civil liberties.  And now he opposes our occupation.  But I dont remember him being in the forefront of any "bread and butter" progressive issues.

Second, Edwards is vastly more electable then Feingold.  I know Feingold has won his Senate races 3 times now in a swing state.  But I dont think he would win any states that Edwards would not and JE would be more competitive in the south and border states.

For what its worth, I emailed Feingold's office in 1999 urging him to run for President then.  He is definitly a good guy.  I just prefer Edwards for the reasons I have given.

by Andy Katz 2005-11-11 01:23PM | 0 recs
Edwards
How courageous of him to regret his support for the Iraq war when the polls are against the Iraq war!

What a crock.  I would respect him more if he stood by his initial wrong decision.  All this tells me is that Edwards blows with the wind.  When the war was popular he was for it, when the war is unpopular he is against it.  Classic.

Only Dean had the balls to show real leadership on an issue.  

Name me one interesting, thoughtful, even midly controversial position Edwards has.  Edwards is for whatever you are for.  He is a Focus Group Democrat, and I'm sick of them.  

by alhill 2005-11-11 07:40AM | 0 recs
Re: Edwards
Yeah, Im sure fighting poverty just drives em crazy with glee in focus groups.  Im sure the popularity of anti-poverty efforts in focus group results is why all the Democrats are climbing aboard this issue.

Yep, no doubt, Edwards is just another focus group phony.  

LOL

by Andy Katz 2005-11-11 09:27AM | 0 recs
I would respect him more...
if he stood by his initial wrong decision."
Dude, that's messed up. If you want to damn someone for backing the Iraq resolution then you might as well flush the majority of Democrats right down the toilet.

All their decisions were based on lies from the most heinously corrupt administration of the 20th century. How can you judge someone on their decision when they were lied to? Who in their right mind wouldn't vote for war with the supposed knowledge that Iraq had nuclear and biological weapons???

Based on this, personally, I could care less how any of the Dems voted on this issue. The whole process was poisoned by lies.

When can we get over this and judge the potential candidates on their real merits? Not on whether or not they were duped by Bush.

I listened to Edwards a couple of times while in NM. I found him to be the most inspirational speaker I can remember listening to. He actually struck me as a politican who was not, in reality, a two-faced sleazebag...and that's saying alot!

I can't believe Hillary actually stated we should send in more troops. We created the perfect storm for civil war in Iraq and the situation is no more winnable that Lebanon was in the 80's. If she won the presidency, we wouldn't have a progressive in office. Hell, we wouldn't even have a Democrat in office, we'd simply have Hillary.

by desertjedi 2005-11-11 08:20AM | 0 recs
Edwards Admits War Vote A Mistake
It's good to see another prominent Democrat say this.  I just wish it didn't sound so wishy-washy.

But most important, the Iraq war must be hung around the necks of the GOP and the neo-cons.  

To do that, Edwards and other Presidential hopefuls must say something like:  "I voted to use force.  I did not believe that President Bush would con the American people.  Now, we can see clearly that vital information was withheld from Democratic members of Congress.  That was wrong.  The American people should not reward the party that conned them.  And we can see clearly that this is exactly what happened.  America was not in imminent danger.  There was no threat of a mushroom cloud.  We were not misled, we were conned."

A weak stance on Iraq will lose.  And my fear is that everyone is just to weak to make a real fight.

by zak822 2005-11-13 05:19AM | 0 recs

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