NY 29th District: Samara Barend Update

I've blogged on the 29th district in NY State.  My first post was here.

Samara Barend, Democratic candidate in the open seat 29th district in New York State, came out with some fundraising news - she has twice as much cash on hand as her nearest opponent, $136,000.  She's raised a total of $171,000.  I have little frame of reference to know if this is a good amount, though my sense is that even if it's a little bit of an underperformance, the underperformance of the GOP opposition is much starker.  That said, the district is weighted 44-30-20 (GOP-Dem-Ind), which would normally augur badly for a Democrat.  But let's get away from the money news - there is great news on a much more important front.

Randy Kuhl and Mark Assini are in a blood feud - it's the liberal Republicans versus the Southern fried GOP.

Kuhl, who has the backing of Houghton, has raised $269,000 over the course of his campaign, according to filings. Kuhl also won the backing Monday of the National Rifle Association. The NRA has given Kuhl an "A+" rating as a state lawmaker.

His campaign manager Ira Treuhaft said their fund-raising shows a wide range of support for Kuhl within the staunchly conservative district, where Republicans outnumber Democrats by about 5-3.

"This is the most Republican seat in New York state... The outpouring of support for Randy has been magnificent," said Treuhaft.

Complicating Kuhl's campaign is a decision by state Conservative Party leaders on Friday to give their endorsement to Assini. Should Kuhl win a GOP primary, that could set up a three-way contest in November with Assini siphoning conservative votes from the state senator.

Kuhl fell victim to a battle between state Conservative Party Chairman Michael Long and state Senate Republican Majority Leader Joseph Bruno. Long claims Bruno, with Kuhl's support, has become too liberal in the quest to keep the Senate under GOP control.

The retiring incumbent, Amo Houghton, is a very liberal Republican who voted against the war and the tax cuts, so it's not an impossible district.

I've heard complaints that she's too young to run, that her campaign is inexperienced (seemingly long-shot campaigns always are), and that it's a staunchly Republican district - I've also heard that it's a changing district and that she is very well-respected in the area, as is her family.  It's a fairly blog-savvy campaign.  Ally Giard, the Deputy Finance Director, blogged on BOP before joining the campaign, and Chris Juan, a campaign staffer, posts on Daily Kos diaries.  Here's Juan's interesting story about how the campaign changed coverage in the paper, after getting bad press:

The local Democracy for America group who has endorsed Samara jumped right on top of this. We wrote the reporters, we wrote the editors, we made some noise, and pointed out that this was simply not true. Not only did Samara raise nearly $171,000 for the quarter, she also has as much cash on hand as both Republicans combined!

We were told yesterday that a correction would be in the paper today. Of course we expected a little 1-inch blurb on page 8B or something, but what we actually got was a full blow article with this outstanding headline....

"Democrat Ahead in Fundraising for Local District Race"

http://www.rochesterdandc.com/news/0720A54V6LP_news.shtml

A little action can really make a different. This was by far the best write-up Samara has received in the local newspaper. The momentum is building in this race and we're going to give the Republicans one heck of a right they never expected.

This is an important way of using digital technology - swift news cycle dominance via emails and mobilizing supporters to pester the press.  We like to speak of blogs and money, but really, the amount of money raised through blogs is pretty small.  Like 'smart money' in investment, though, blog money is well-timed and often critical to investing political campaigns and movements with legitimacy.  Really, blogs and technology are bringing back coalition politics, so I find it heartening that the local DFA group had such an impact on the press, beyond just raising cash.

At any rate, the blood feud among Republicans is terrific news.  If Barend can establish legitimacy as a potential pickup, this is a seat we can take.  You can read more about her candidacy here. My contacts in NY politics are thin, so if anyone can weigh in with an analysis of the district or her reputation therein, I'd appreciate it.

Tags: House 2006 (all tags)

Comments

7 Comments

the conservative party
so, Assini is going to be their nominees, Barend's chances just increased a whole lot. She basically can win witha plurality of the vote.
by Jerome Armstrong 2004-07-20 12:40PM | 0 recs
Re: Samara Barend for Congress? Please.
Alderson is sort of Lyndon Larouche-like, sort of Nader-like.
by Matt Stoller 2004-08-01 06:21PM | 0 recs
Samara Barend
Samara Barend is a great person. It is evident that Alderson is desperate. Either he or his little followers are on here calling Sam bad things and saying untrue things about this great and remarkable young woman. Alderson and Kuhl are very very scared of Barend. It is sad that someone like Jeremy Alderson, a tax and spend liberal and former male stripper has to resort to these things. Listen up Alderson -- THIS IS POLITICS...If you can't play with the big dogs, GET OUT! And you or your supporter failed to mention you are getting kicked off the ballot because HALF of your signatures were NOT EVEN REGISTERED DEMOCRATS! You can get the lists for free! Read a damn newspaper!!! If you get a chance, read Alderson's blog...He compares himself to Jeffrey Dahmer, says Bush is the only presidential candidate he can trust, talks about fights with his wife and admits to having creditors calling his house because of his massive personal debt! Alderson also supports legalizing ALL drugs with no limits or regulation. Alderson never even filed FEC papers. Alderson doesn't put a disclaimer on his campaign lit (that is illegal)...While I may not know Samara Barend very well, I know enough that everyone should not only vote for her, but support her as well. She does not have a bunch of "rich little friends." If you read a newspaper you would find out that her average donation was $150. They were from people all over the state and country who believe in Sam and who believe this seat is winnable. It will be tough for a Democrat to win, but it can be done here. Stan Lundine was a long time Democratic Congressman from this district (he is supporting Barend). He is as beloved as Amo. Kuhl and Assini will split the "right" vote. Assini vowed to stay in the race until November. He is going after Kuhl. Assini won't attack Barend. In fact, I think he is Barend's best ally. Like I said, it will be tough for Barend, but she CAN win this seat. That is why everyone should help her campaign out in any way possible. It is really sad that Jeremy Alderson has to come on here and act like "Jon Doe Voter" and put on a disguise. Get a life.
by youngdemo5 2004-08-02 09:25AM | 0 recs
Fraud
Also...look at the date and time of all of the negative posts...They were all posted on the SAME DAY by obviously the SAME PERSON within 5 minutes of each other. Whoever did that is an obvious idiot and tried to make it look like there was more than "one" person posting bad things about Samara.
by youngdemo5 2004-08-02 09:32AM | 0 recs
Anonymous Hero
Why don't you reveal who you are and stop hiding behind "Anonymous Hero"

Assini will attract more that 5% in November. There is a huge split between the Southern Tier and Monroe/Ontario Counties. The ST will vote overwhelmingly for Kuhl, while Ontario and Monroe will vote huge for Assini. Assini will get 10-15% in November, enough to take away the margin Kuhl needs to win. Barend will easily pull 45% as Gore and Hillary did in this district.

Enjoy the ballot line for one more week Mr. Alderson --- YOU ARE DONE! I am not an angry young man...I am a very happy young man! We are going to have a great President named John Kerry and a great Congresswoman named Samara Barend!

I am not arrogant at all. Mr. Alderson is the arrogant one. It is sad that he calls himself a Democrat. I feel ashamed to be registered as a member of the same party as Jeremy Alderson.

by youngdemo5 2004-08-04 04:19PM | 0 recs
Re: the conservative party
Yeah take them to the First National Bank of You are Insane...

Barend will get 45% easily
Assini will take 10-15% from Kuhl easily

by youngdemo5 2004-08-04 04:24PM | 0 recs
Re: Samara Barend
The only pipe dream you know about, Mr. Alderson, is the one you smoke...
by youngdemo5 2004-08-04 04:24PM | 0 recs

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