712,000 Part-Time Jobs Created in May

Yesterday when I estimated that half of the new jobs created in May were probably part time jobs, I was way off. In reality, 287% of the new jobs created in May were part-time jobs. Check out page ten of the new jobs report (Warning PDF file):
Persons at work part time, in thousands
All Industries	     January	February    March     April	     May
Economic Reasons	      4,714	 4,437	   4,733     4,574     4,665
Non-Economic Reasons   18,905	18,900	  19,006    19,000    19,621
Total		     23,619	23,337	  23,739    23,574    24,286

Nonagricultural  
Economic Reasons	      4,613	 4,328	   4,622     4,471     4,605
Non-Economic Reasons   18,636	18,691	  18,693    18,664	    19,220
Total		     23,249	23,019	  23,315    23,135    23,825
"Noneconomic reasons" means that the employees in question only wanted part-time work, and thus are not considered underutilized labor. "Economic reasons" means the opposite.

There are probably two main causes for the May surge in part time employment for non-economic reasons:

  • College students starting part-time jobs over the summer
  • The babies from the August 2003 blackout would have been born in May 2004, thus causing many people to switch to part-time employment to take care of their newborns.

No matter the causes, there were far more part-time jobs created in May than there were total jobs created in May. 712,000 part time jobs created minus 248,000 total jobs created equals 464,000 fewer people working full-time jobs in May than in April.

Overall, since February 949,000 part time jobs have been created. This number is almost identical to the total number of all jobs created since February, 947,000. According to the Department of Labor, over the past three months, full-time employment in this country has barely changed at all.

Tags: Labor (all tags)

Comments

5 Comments

Well
If indeed those are students returning from school, then i have two questions...
  1.  Does this happen every year.  Like did the same or similar surge occur last year in May?
  2.  Do they count as new jobs created if a student is returning to a previous part time position that they had before?  Would students show up there?
by Spartacus 2004-06-05 02:07PM | 0 recs
and one more...
You've already asked two questions I had.  How about one more?  Shouldn't the "seasonally adjusted" job report offset the influx of part-time student jobs?  Or, is this yet another mish-mashing of the data to make it look more favorable to the current administration?
by Island Dave 2004-06-08 08:10AM | 0 recs
Couldn't follow your math
I'm certainly grateful for anyone willing to pick through government statistics to enlighten us folks.

Here's where I'm lost:

"712,000 part time jobs created minus 248,000 total jobs created equals 464,000 fewer people working full-time jobs in May than in April."  

According to the numbers, about 24,000 part-time jobs were created in All Industries and another 24,000 in Agriculture.  How did you get from there to 712,000 jobs.

Also couldn't figure the 287% thing.

I don't dispute your results, but couldn't explain to myself or others how you got there.

thx

p.s.  This data should be more widely known.  What a difference in the picture presented....

by JimPortlandOR 2004-06-05 06:14PM | 0 recs
as for your blackout theory...
I haven't seen any stats on the current birthrate, but...

http://www.snopes.com/pregnant/blackout.htm

by CrackRabbit 2004-06-05 06:54PM | 0 recs
I just hoped it would be true
There was something truly delicious about the idea of blackouts leading to mass births. Oh well.
by Chris Bowers 2004-06-05 07:17PM | 0 recs

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