Vulnerable House seats for Democrats

by Jerome Armstrong, Mon Apr 12, 2004 at 06:23:48 AM EDT

Tier One:
TX-19 Stenholm
TX-01 Sandlin
TX-17 Edwards
TX-32 Frost
TX-02 Lampson

Tier Two:
LA-07 John, open
PA-13 Hoeffel, open
OK-02 Carson, open
KY-04 Lucus, open

Tier Three:
UT-02 Matheson
PA-17 Holden
GA-03 Marshall
WI-03 Kind
ND-al Pomeroy

Someone could argue that other open Dem seats and Dem incumbents are vunerable to takaway by the Republicans, but even these last 4 seems to be a stretch as of now. I'd lean all the open seats to the Dems, and lean the 5 Texas seats to the GOP.

Tags: House 2006 (all tags)

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4a2fab88-ed3b-47a4-8f14-3ec8a24504ac_normal
ah, toast
All Dem seats, those most vunerable:

tier ones are getting dark on the edges
tier twos are sliced, but not even in the toaster
tier threes are still intact with the bread.

by Jerome Armstrong 2004-04-12 09:18AM | 0 recs
Shadow_head_small
Vulnerable House Seats (D)
Oregon District Number 05 I)Darlene Hooley-D) is vulnerable to strong candidate's are running against her: State Senator Jackie Winters and Jim Zupanic.  Plus Hooley is getting challenged from the left in the primary from Andrew Kaza.
by InspectorMorse 2004-04-13 02:07PM | 0 recs
4a2fab88-ed3b-47a4-8f14-3ec8a24504ac_normal
OR 5th
I don't think either of them have a shot, we'll see later on, probably on the cusp.  Did you see Zupanic's ad?  Ouch.

Winters (who is black):

"Jackie Winters? With the liberals. With us? Republican Jim Zupancic."

by Jerome Armstrong 2004-04-13 07:01PM | 0 recs
Shadow_head_small
Hope you're right, Jerome.
I canvassed many of the contended state House and Senate districts in Oregon 5 for the 2002s, won maybe 3 out of 9, and I can't help but worry a little about Hooley's chances.

I don't mean to spread FUD, but many people I visited in that district are so firmly attached to the R talking-point nozzle, they resemble remorae. You can't talk any sense into them. You just shudder, and try not to run off the road as you drive past their 20' square lawnsigns along the I.

Soon as I get a job, I'm sending her money, but for now, add my voice to those who think Hooley's a little crispy around the edges, and might be ready for buttering if she doesn't start kicking ass.

by JD 2004-04-16 01:13PM | 0 recs

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