Ohio (wait for 10 more days), and the other non-results
by Jerome Armstrong, Wed Nov 03, 2004 at 05:14:33 AM EST
Well, that will take another 10 days.
Ohio is the linchpin, because:
In Ohio, 11,473 precincts out of 11,477 have reported. Bush has 2,791,912 votes to Kerry's 2,653,046 votes - a lead of 138,866 votes for the incumbent that, on the face of it, seems decisive. The catch is absentee ballots and provisional ballots, estimated to be anywhere between 75,000-250,000.Though conservative estimates put the number of absentee and provisional ballots under 100,000 - that is, well inside the lead Bush enjoys. Democrats however claim that the figure is closer to 250,000, and that when those ballots are counted, their candidate could well edge the president out of the race.
Secretary of State Ken Blackwell, in whom the authority of overseeing the electoral process in the state and announcing the result vests, has said that as per state law, absentee ballots will not be counted for the next ten days.
The rules in the state stipulate that an absentee ballot posted on election day, and bearing that day's postmark, is valid. Thus, Blackwell argues that time has to be given for those ballots posted today to arrive in the mail; all mailed in ballots have to then be collated, validated, and counted.
Thus, according to existing rules, Ohio can hang in the balance for the next 11 days.
Got that? 10 days until we will know. Kerry is not conceding, which is a good thing too. It's a good thing for the rocks to be overturn, for some attention to be paid to how the vote went, and for all the votes to be counted. There is also an automatic recount in place in Ohio, but the result will need to be less than ~10K for that to happen (1/4 of 1%).New Mexico too, is uncalled. There are over 20,000 provisional ballots that need to be validated and counted - almost double the amount of votes Bush is leading by.
So also, Iowa is uncalled. Bush leads by 14-15K votes, but there are about 60K absentee ballots still to be counted.
Tags: General 2008 (all tags)









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