Ohio (wait for 10 more days), and the other non-results

The only reason Bush has not made his victory speech today, Card indicated, was because he wanted to give his opponent the courtesy of 'time to reflect on the outcome of this election'.

Well, that will take another 10 days.

Ohio is the linchpin, because:

In Ohio, 11,473 precincts out of 11,477 have reported. Bush has 2,791,912 votes to Kerry's 2,653,046 votes - a lead of 138,866 votes for the incumbent that, on the face of it, seems decisive. The catch is absentee ballots and provisional ballots, estimated to be anywhere between 75,000-250,000.

Though conservative estimates put the number of absentee and provisional ballots under 100,000 - that is, well inside the lead Bush enjoys. Democrats however claim that the figure is closer to 250,000, and that when those ballots are counted, their candidate could well edge the president out of the race.

Secretary of State Ken Blackwell, in whom the authority of overseeing the electoral process in the state and announcing the result vests, has said that as per state law, absentee ballots will not be counted for the next ten days.

The rules in the state stipulate that an absentee ballot posted on election day, and bearing that day's postmark, is valid. Thus, Blackwell argues that time has to be given for those ballots posted today to arrive in the mail; all mailed in ballots have to then be collated, validated, and counted.

Thus, according to existing rules, Ohio can hang in the balance for the next 11 days.

Got that?  10 days until we will know. Kerry is not conceding, which is a good thing too. It's a good thing for the rocks to be overturn, for some attention to be paid to how the vote went, and for all the votes to be counted. There is also an automatic recount in place in Ohio, but the result will need to be less than ~10K for that to happen (1/4 of 1%).

New Mexico too, is uncalled.  There are over 20,000 provisional ballots that need to be validated and counted - almost double the amount of votes Bush is leading by.

So also, Iowa is uncalled. Bush leads by 14-15K votes, but there are about 60K absentee ballots still to be counted.  

Tags: General 2008 (all tags)

Comments

49 Comments

Let's Count Them
Let's count them all.  Each and every one.  Let's look at all of the irregularities in Ohio, Florida, and everywhere else.  Let's not pull a Gore this time around.  America deserves no less.
by bhelverson 2004-11-03 03:41AM | 0 recs
Litigate Ohio!
I would like to see litigation to publicly air the Republican effort there to suppress turnout.
Undoubtedly there is some very embarrassing evidence.  The American public and the world should know what the Bush victory was based on, even if the probability of overturning is small.  And if it is a matter of forcing the Supreme Court to go 5-4 again to prevent this, so be it.

In the meantime, we go to work, and watch the Iraq war destroy what is left (perhaps two years) of this presidency.

by Bob H 2004-11-03 03:47AM | 0 recs
Conspiracy theory
I went to bed last night with one quetsion in my head:

If the early voting lines, especially in FL, were so long, and the voting lines on Tuesday in southern FL (and all across states like VA, and OH) were the longest anyone had scene since 1960, why then was the total popular vote the same as 2000?

Was the vote really high in Florida but just super low in NY and CA to even out the popular vote?

Why were the exit polls giving Kerry an extra 4% all across the battleground states (FL, OH, NJ, NC, VA)?

Is it possible that in Red states, the state machinery didn't count all the Kerry votes.  Maybe the touch screen systems were "programmed" to drop every fourth Kerry vote and do so only when the date equaled 11/2.

I can't quite figure out how this conspiracy could be done, but on the other hand, the visual evidence seems to suggest there were more voters than would equal the same popular vote number from 2000.

Or maybe Rove really did kick our collective asses fairly - it just smells fishy.  We'll probably never know.

Any thoughts from people who saw these lines?

by davidscott 2004-11-03 04:02AM | 0 recs
Re: Conspiracy theory
YES - good points. I feel very strongly that I need some answers. It seems to me in the days and hours leading up to Tuesday afternoon many of us saw some VERY clear evidence of a Kerry wave that was happening. Let me mention a couple of Florida (for example) specifics:
* Quinnipiac cited a few days ago a Kerry lead in Florida early voting of 56-39. Many indications were that registrations and turnout were amazingly strong in Democratic precincts before and on election day. ENP reported afternoon numbers of 51-48 for Kerry. Oh, but the computers popped out pro-Bush numbers from which the networks reported that Bush "won" the state (contradictory to -even FINAL?- exit polls).
I feel as though I am being asked in this instance, national popular vote, and other states, to believe Bush-winning returns and media reports which fly against a mountain of evidence that it was not what was actually happening.
I could give a lot of examples of the evidence. Why not page through the last week of posts from Jerome and Chris?
Now I know George Bush, the corporate media, and Florida and other state republican elections officials to be liars and fraudulent. I know no reason not to trust information coming through Jerome and Chris from many very people and organizations of intelligence and integrity.
I am becoming persuaded to believe the evidence that many more Americans legally voted for John Kerry than George Bush last night, but that the machines, elections officials, and media out-right lied.
The only alternative is that the mountains of evidence, polls, exit polls, registration and turnout statistics, and the very audible mumble on the street were all somehow very wrong.
Whichever is the case, I think we must know, and understand why and what to do about it before we can know how to proceed as a movement and as a people.

Peace,
Ryvr

by Ryvr 2004-11-03 05:20AM | 0 recs
Re: Conspiracy theory
I think the ten day wait may reveal some strange things in FLA and beyond. Bush wants to make it official asap. Why? He's already president. He doesn't need to put together a cabinet. What's the rush? What about the diebold machines? They seemed to be doing some strange s***. I don't have much faith in the uncounted ballots in Ohio, but I do like the idea of waiting until they are counted. After all, a promise is a promise. Once we've conceeded, the anomlies will be brushed aside. The exit polls don't match the outcome in FLA. Not even a little. Let's wait for the count and see WTF is going on in some of these other states.
by kitebro 2004-11-03 05:37AM | 0 recs
How will we know?
Of course there were shenanigans.That's a rove trademark.All the reports of nefarious flyers going out to rural and inner-city communities?Those should be amassed and forced down the sclm throats so they have to reveal the true nature of this beast.
What about the academic studies (there is more than one) that shows Bush supporters are severely misinformed about the facts on Iraq and W's stance on issues like global warming and the International Court?How the hell do you think that occurred?How about the former "equal time" rules that Reagan abolished and paved the road for Fox and Rush Windbag?We have sat like sheep,seeing only the hand in front of us,not seeing and confronting the BIG picture.
I believe we are on the verge of losing it all,either by Civil War (not tomorrow,but...) or outright bankruptcy.It' s time to get some muscle and courage to fight the ignorance and the fundamentalism in our own country.
by bird 2004-11-03 04:21AM | 0 recs
They were saying that Kerry will concede next hour
I guess the politics of fear worked, because with the healthcare and economic system in this country. This election isn't making any since.
Without a miracle, I won't be able to get a job or keep my house. We are really bad off and many people are. I just don't understand this. Ohio will most likely go to Bush.
Kerry could get NV, NM and IA. Which would mean 269-269 tie. I don't know what will happen if electoral vote is tied.
by BushNotMyPresident 2004-11-03 04:39AM | 0 recs
Re: They were saying that Kerry will concede
If electoral vote is tied, then GWB wins because the election then goes to the House of Representatives.  Each state gets one vote, and the GOP controls the majority of states in the House (30-15 IIRC).  The only way Kerry can win is by getting to 270.  It's hard to believe that in a state with so many lost jobs, people could still go into that voting booth and pull the Republican lever.  Are they that scared of terrorism?  And what does it say about America's spirit and courage that one bearded lunatic in Afghanistan can bring the world's most powerful nation to its knees in fear?  I'm ashamed of many of my fellow countrymen this morning.  I sincerely hope they don't have to pay for their votes with their children's lives when GWB reinstates the draft to keep this damn war going.

I say keep fighting.  There are so many voting irregularities in both FL and OH that the courts will have to get involved.  And if it takes 36 days, as it did in 2000, so be it.

We have to hope that the Supreme Court Justices that were considering retirement can hang on for four more years, otherwise personal liberties in this country will be screwed.

The only positive coming out of this, if GWB does, in fact, win, is that the next four years of this presidency will be such an unmitigated disaster, that it will doom the Republican party in America for years to come.

by ccsuwxman 2004-11-03 05:34AM | 0 recs
The Future
Okay, I've had my moment of despair. I think it's important to remember that many people who voted for Bush voted for the messenger, with little or no real comprehension of what he has actually been doing; believing he is good on the environmnent, that there is a connection between Saddam and 9/11, etc. They liked him (I can't figure it out, but then I didn't vote for him). It seems to me that the Democrats need to hone their message to the populist left--not such a reliance on or endless discussions of social issues, but a populist left discussion of the economy, national security, the environment, etc. Not a right-wing Democrat like Clinton, as preferable as he is to Bush, but southern would be a good thing. I'm not sure we can continue dismissing that entire part of the country and ever win another election. At any rate, it's time to start thinking about 2006 in light of the radically changed country we are living in. I still am aiming to have one president elected in my lifetime I can really respect. When I was younger RFK was going to be it. Then this was going to be it. Analyze, plan, mobilize. We have some good connections now, and the reassurance that what each of us feels today is echoed by many, many more.
by mady 2004-11-03 05:11AM | 0 recs
Sports metaphors
You have to play the whole game.
9 innings, 60 minutes, 4 quarters, game-set-match, whatever.

You can win it, even if you're down two runs at the bottom of the ninth.
You can win it, even if you need two touchdowns at the two-minute warning.
You can win it, down 5 points with the shot clock off and no timeouts.

Hey GWB: Just because you've won the first three games, that doesn't mean you go to World Series.  Not when you're playin' Boston.

Karl, it ain't over till the last whistle blows and the fans go home.  Karl, I got news - we're still here!  We're not gonna have another four years of your home=team-SCOTUS-called-a-rain-out pResident.

Don't tell me its game over.  We're not even to extra innings yet -- we haven't tallied up the score for the first nine! This isn't overtime - it's GAME TIME.

GAME ON, you GOP fascists - GAME MUTHA-F####N' ON!

by Silent E 2004-11-03 05:16AM | 0 recs
Wah - take your ball and go home
The whinning and crying about this is unbelieveable. Look, I think Kerry is a repectable man. He might have made a good president, but it's very obvious, the exit polls were full of crap, the media was bias towards a democratic presidency and now that Bush has all but finished this thing, the blue side of the fence is crying about it. By the way, I see no one talked about the 3.5 million popular vote lead by Bush. It sure was a big topic last election. It takes away any credibility when either side doesn't acknowledge the facts. The majority has spoken, Bush is president. Better get use to it.
by noyzmkr 2004-11-03 05:21AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
Wouldn't it be a terrible thing if someone got more popular votes and still lost?
by krixa 2004-11-03 05:30AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
yeah - not by 3.5 million, doesn't happen. Check your history.
by noyzmkr 2004-11-03 05:40AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
How big was YOUR taxcut?
by kitebro 2004-11-03 05:44AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
great, witty, comment. It's funny. In case you didn't know, that's my money in the first place. And no, I'm certainly not in the upper crust. Under 100K as if it's any of your business.
by noyzmkr 2004-11-03 05:53AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
Give it back. Support the war with money and loved ones. I'm sick of these hipocrites saying that they support the war while excepting huge tax cuts. Let someone elses money and kids fight Bush's war. It makes for great tv viewing. Under 100k? See you at the soup kitchen.
by kitebro 2004-11-03 06:16AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
Number 1 - you don't know what I do with my money. Number 2 I would rather determine how I'm going to distribute the money I earn, not you, not a government. Number 3 I wouldn't tell you what to do with your money, would you let me disperse yours? I think not. It doesn't matter whether I make 20K a year or 150K a year, it's MY money, no one else's. Support the troops, yes. Support my family, yes. Support my church, yes. My decision not yours.
by noyzmkr 2004-11-03 10:45AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
In 2000, high Dem turnout was not a specific goal of the Gore campaign.  It was thus more a "real" reflection of national attitude than the 2004 numbers.  Nobody bothered to energize lots of safe-state voters in 2004 - so it was fair to say that the relative interest of safe-state voters, Dem and GOP, was equivalent, and that differences in the popular vote totals actually reflected real differences in national opinion.

By contrast, Bush's 2004 majority accrued because Karl Rove deliberately set out to drive up GOP turnout in "safe" states for just this reason.  He bought lots of national cable ads, targeted to conservative voters: Fox News, Country Music shows and channels, NASCAR, rodeos and truck pulls, etc.  KE04 did nothing like that.  Thus, the 3.5 million votes that Bush ran up in safe states don't reflect a mandate.  Had KE04 bought lots of national cable time on Lifetime, BET, and Comedy Central - energizing lots of safe-state Dem voters - the popular vote would have been even.

A better evaluation is: in those states that both campaigns regarded as real "battlegrounds", is there any discernible difference?  The fact that three of those battlegrounds are still undeclared (four, according to CSPAN and others) indicates that Bush has no mandate.  "The majority" said nothing.

by Silent E 2004-11-03 05:48AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
I see. So your saying that the blue states sat back and let things just go as it needed to because they felt safe. I have to say that's untrue. Even in Texas, were Bush was easily going to win, the democratic campaign managers pushed out their vote to specifically drive up the popular vote. But you're contending that the safer blue states didn't? I think that everyone that had a voice, spoke. I think that's the way it's suppose to be and unlike you I believe that the popular vote does matter. It mattered in 2000 too by the way. I even agree with that.
by noyzmkr 2004-11-03 06:05AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
Thanks for coming by to gloat - you registered today, right?

As for your popular vote arguments, well - are you saying campaign advertising is TOTALLY INEFFECTIVE?  What a bizarre conclusion - yet that's all I can conclude if you think that all voters were motivated equally to participate even though GOP-voters in safe states were specifically targeted in order to increase the popular vote and Dem-voters in safe states weren't.

And in 2000 (and before), the popular vote mattered because nobody was trying to 'game' it.  If it didn't matter in 2000 - and Bush never governed as if he'd won a narrow election and lost the popular vote - why should matter now?

Especially if Kerry won Ohio?!?!

by Silent E 2004-11-03 06:20AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
Actually Silent E, I've been registered for quite a while, thanks for asking. Both sides will "play" the popular vote. You're naive to think they don't. Bottom line is Bush won this time around. Period. Check the news - Kerry conceded. Now if you don't like the way things are done, do something about it besides whining. No I didn't come by to gloat. I'd like to see someone hold someone accountable for the B.S. that happens. On BOTH sides.
by noyzmkr 2004-11-03 06:28AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
Nicely said.  We do need calmer heads as well as a sound, educated plan for moving forward.  This divide must be closed or the same thing will happen in '08.
by CommanSense2008 2004-11-03 06:35AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
Wow.  Advertising is effective, hence the amount of money spent.  But even more effective - our own thoughts and words.  Let's face it (and I just registered today - but to hold that against me is wrong) we lost the election on our own.  We went too far left and that played into the GOP's strategy.  I have said this from the very beginning, not here obviously, all this talk of conspiracy, Hitler, Michael Moore's ranting, even all of the "Hollywood stars" (have you heard Cher speak on behalf of the party - I want to shoot myself!) play into the GOP's hands.  We look as left as left can be and that is just too frightening for a large portion of the US.  The numbers now show that - we need to live with that and begin the process of planning a better tomorrow.  I'm telling everyone who will listen - take a good hard look at Barack Obama in Illinois.  He is the direction that the party should run, no, sprint to.
by CommanSense2008 2004-11-03 06:29AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
Good post.  Do the math.  Look to the future, Kerry will concede and will do it this afternoon.  Face it, the GOP ran a stronger GOTV - stronger than any of us thought - it is our own fault.  I would also argue that the party looked too liberal and that began to scare a lot of folks - especially the younger folks.  Let's face it, Michael Moore hurt more then he helped.  We need to look to the Barack Obamas of the party to save the party
by CommanSense2008 2004-11-03 06:05AM | 0 recs
Re: Wah - take your ball and go home
Thanks CommonSence. Hopefully level heads will provail and we can get to the real work that needs to be done.
by noyzmkr 2004-11-03 06:09AM | 0 recs
You Decide 2004
You have two choices at this point:

1. Fight the election results and blame any loss on Republican "cheating." If you recount enough counties Kerry may pick up some votes. In the meantime this effort will continue to erode confidence in our election system and the world view of our elction process.

2. Concede the election and fix the problems within the party. It wasn't just within the Presidental race. The 2002 election was unheard of giving the president in power more seats in congress, now this election only adds on to it. I would argue much of the problems stem from the DNC and DNCC leadership. The next election is only two years away. As the Eagles would say - "Get over it". At this point Kerry will been seen as the instegator if the election turns to the courts.

Overall I would argue the RNC won in the GOTV campaigns in many key areas. Bush exteneded his leads in many red states with a possible pickup in Iowa and NM, while the Kerry camp did good in PA and took back NH, but kept thier states at or below the 2000 level. Overall the popular vote tells the alot of the story.

by Patrick Henry 2004-11-03 05:35AM | 0 recs
Re: You Decide 2004
Good post.
by noyzmkr 2004-11-03 05:43AM | 0 recs
Re: You Decide 2004
You don't appease terrorists.  You don't show weakness to bullies.  You don't back down from the good fight.  Haven't we learned yet?  No wonder all the Fox watchers think Dems are a bunch of softies.  Show some spine, dammit.
by Silent E 2004-11-03 06:10AM | 0 recs
Re: You Decide 2004
The popular vote might be different if not for the electoral college. When I voted in Western Mass there was nobody in line. No line at all. At 4:30 in the afternoon. If the election was decided by popular voting I'm SURE I would have stood in a long line,but why bother voting when it's a lock in your state? The anti-gay measures brought out the folks who feel that being gay is a shame and a sin. The huge turnout in those states give the impression that the whole country backed Bush. In reality, it was in certain regions that they turned out en mass. It's time to do away with the electoral college and let the popular votes elect our president. And we ALL need to get out and vote. In the meantime, Bush will appoint judges that will decide a great many things that will affect my 11 year old daughter into middle age.
by kitebro 2004-11-03 05:55AM | 0 recs
Re: You Decide 2004
I agree somewhat with your post on the popular vote, but Bush was behind in the popular vote in 2000 and that didn't stop him from being the instegator in FL. Gore was 200,000 to 300,000 votes ahead in FL, when Bush said I don't believe that. This is when they took the state from Gore. It ended up in court and Bush is now God!
by BushNotMyPresident 2004-11-03 05:57AM | 0 recs
Re: You Decide 2004
NO.  NO.  NO.

This isn't about "fighting" the election "results".  Why do you freely swallow the GOP spin?  The election isn't over.  There are no results yet - only preliminary numbers and estimates.  There are a quarter-of-a-million UNCOUNTED BALLOTS in Ohio.

We have laws and procedures and consitutitional provisions to govern close elections - we should use them.  There's no rule that says that whoever is ahead at midnight wins.  The winner is whoever has more votes when they're all counted and all the rules have been followed and all the questions are resolved.  

Right now, the outcome has not been determined so of course Kerry should press on.  Free and fair elections can be long and complex - but they are the lifeblood of America.  Bush is the one who wants to short-circuit our democracy.  Again.  Bush wants to disenfranchise all the provisional ballot voters that his thugs and lawyers couldn't keep away from the polls.  Bush wants the country to ignore the systematic suppression of African-American votes.  Again.  Are you going to let him?

If we give up now, if we let them STEAL another election -- and that's what it will be if they intimidate us into silence, bullying Dems into stopping the counting of valid votes and spinning the media to portray Bush as a winner and Kerry as a whiner -- if they STEAL this one, what happens next time?  More challenges?  More restrictions, poll watchers, complicated ballot rules and intimidation?  More felon lists and premature poll closings?  More shredded Dem registrations, slimeball robo-calls, and last-minute poll location switches?

NO!  COUNT EVERY VOTE!

by Silent E 2004-11-03 06:04AM | 0 recs
Re: You Decide 2004
I'm sorry that you feel this way.  It is not about "stealing' the election.  At this point it is simple math.  Kerry can not make up the margin at this point.  Stop the whining and start working to building a future.  Bring the party back to the center and away from the left - that is how success is built.  Look to Illinois and to Barack Obama.  He is the future of the party and a bright one at that.
by CommanSense2008 2004-11-03 06:09AM | 0 recs
Re: You Decide 2004
Good post-if we send in the lawyers we would probably lose anyway-the number just aren't there.

We lost because we are too far left and on the wrong side of social issues e.g. tryand finda  pro-life Democrat-we're too beholden to Planned Parenthood and we support any and all abortions.

by Topcat 2004-11-03 06:19AM | 0 recs
Re: You Decide 2004
I agree that Bush probably did win this one fairly; he may have stolen some votes, but I don't think he stole the victory.  However, the suggestion that we shouldn't investigate the possibility of fraud because it would "erode confidnece in our election system" is absurd.  The "confidence" you're advocating is the same kind which the class of thieves known as "confidence men" use to bilk people out of their money.  America's electoral system will be worthy of our confidence when every ballot cast can be independently verified -- no black boxes inside which votes can be altered untraceably, no punch-cards that lose 2-3% of ballots to simple mechanical error.  The only acceptable systems are touch-screen machines with paper receipts, and the highly reliable optical scan system.  Incidentally, punch-cards are still in use mainly in poorer counties; the most affluent counties have been using optical scan for years.  Given that 2-3% spoilage rate for punch-cards, and the <0.1% spoilage rate of optical scan ballots, it is extremely likely that that alone cost Gore enough votes in Florida 2000 to tilt that election to Bush.  How it may have affected Kerry is less certain, but it would certainly have narrowed Bush's margin if every precinct in America that used punch-cards had used optical scan instead.
by Alex 2004-11-03 11:16PM | 0 recs
DON'T CONCEDE
Please, please tell John Kerry not to concede.  I voted for him and he represents millions of other voters who do NOT want him to concede.  He needs to stick this out and let the process work.  

I just emailed every organization that was campaigning for Kerry telling them to please let John know that we DO NOT wish for him to concede.  CNN seems to be pressuring Kerry to concede.  It is important that we get the message to John that we DO NOT want him to concede until after all the provisional ballots are counted. If the provisional ballots bring the separation to within the .25% margin for a recount, then we need to wait until the recount is completed.  

by lsegura 2004-11-03 05:46AM | 0 recs
sigh....
kerry's gonna have to get like 75-80% of those uncounted ballots
by ben114 2004-11-03 05:50AM | 0 recs
Terry McAuliffe may quit after this, but I don't
he is the blame for this.

As hard as it may be to understand. Bush's power over people comes
from fear. This is how he controls. Democrats have got to tap into this.

The other thing is that the Democrats are going to have to find a way
to handle the Christian-right. Many people were discussing this very
thing at the Kerry/Edwards party last night here in Knoxville, TN.

According to the media, the Latino vote in FL didn't help matters. I
really think those Cuban-Americans need to decide whether or not they
live in America or in Cuba with Castro. They are always worried about
Castro, sometimes I think they need to go back to Cuba and live with him.

by BushNotMyPresident 2004-11-03 05:52AM | 0 recs
I have to disagree...
We should not 'move on'!

Here is why!

As a canvasser in Florida, and a Florida resident, I saw the huge turnout in African American communities. I saw police cars parked in front of precints. I was at a precinct where AA voters were challenged using felon lists that were not supposed to be used. I believe there is a discrepancy between the huge voter turnout and the results. The numbers don't add up.

Secondly, if we let them get away with this, then it becomes standard operating procedure for every single election in the future. We let them do it in 2000 and look at the results? Diebold machines with no paper trail!!  Are we going to lie down and let it happen again?

John Kerry and his people could do something great for this country, regardless of whether Kerry wins. They could push REAL election reform. Kerry could wait and NOT concede until every single vote is counted and until there is a thorough investigation of irregularities in Ohio and Florida..and maybe other states as well.  If they do an investigation, something will be found...no matter how minor...and that will be added to the list of reforms we need.

If we let the bullies win, the bullies become MORE bullies. We have to stand firm.

The argument that this isn't good for our country is bull..sorry. Our country is so divided already, it will not hurt to wait to concede. In fact, it will totally destroy what is left of the faith in our system if we don't make sure we know everything before we give up.

I speak as a mom of 4 kids and someone who wants her kids to live in a true democracy where their vote counts.

by rian90 2004-11-03 05:54AM | 0 recs
Re: I have to disagree...
OK - as a father of three kids - one of them 16 - I know what you are feeling.  However - I don't feel bullied at all.  The numbers support that as well.  Numbers do not lie - maybe we had that argument four years ago, but today - it just does not hold water.  The leads for the GOP are too great.  Daschle lost - what does that tell you?  I have said it before and I will say it again - we went too far left and it killed us.  All this talk of a draft, Michael Moore,  Hitler and the Bin Laden ties all served the GOP more than it served us.  We are to blame and we should wake up and look to the future.
by CommanSense2008 2004-11-03 06:19AM | 0 recs
Re: I have to disagree...
Great post Dad, we all need to grow up and get the DNC to think like this.
by Topcat 2004-11-03 07:32AM | 0 recs
Re: I have to disagree...
Actually I think most of the DNC does think like this - we just got washed away in the whole anybody but Bush mentality.  Run away from the Moore's of the party and run to the Obama's of the party.
by CommanSense2008 2004-11-03 07:39AM | 0 recs
cut your losses
Kerry lost.  Sorry, and if you're waiting for Ohio to tell you that you're waiting ten days to find out something everyone else knows.  Holding out ten days will not look good, litigation will look worse.  Kerry lost the popular vote, and taking this to court will look like a coup attempt even before the Republican spin machine gets ahold of it.  Fighting this will only damage us as a party, and it will only hurt Edwards, who is arguably our best hope for 08 (my bet is an Edwards/Clark or Clark/Edwards ticket would have beat Bush by about 52-47, let's face it Kerry was what we feared he was all along - a very tall Michael Dukakis).
by slduncan79 2004-11-03 06:06AM | 0 recs
Re: cut your losses
you may be right.

After this and 2000 while we may be right in doing so, all the litigation on our part doesn't reflect well on us.

by ben114 2004-11-03 06:09AM | 0 recs
Re: cut your losses
In four years nobody will remember. Count the votes. Fix the problems.
by kitebro 2004-11-03 06:18AM | 0 recs
CNN reporting that Kerry conceded
Edwards didn't want to but Kerry called Bush to concede....
by lsegura 2004-11-03 06:21AM | 0 recs
Your vote counts - if Diebold wants it to
First of all, remember this one? "Why change Dicks in the middle of a screw, vote for Nixon in '72." It took a couple of years, but eventually he showed what kind of person he really was.

Bush is truly a pin-headed idiot backed by lizard people, and I think that will become obvious to many more people in the course of the next year or two. Yes, he will probably win this one (fairly or not), and the soldiers, the economy, etc. will suffer, but many of the misled people who still believe in his goofball rhetoric will slowly come to realize that they were wrong.

On to Diebold. Remember this? "I am committed to helping Ohio deliver its electoral votes to the president next year." This was stated by Diebold's CEO, Walden O'Dell. Everyone is talking about counting the provisional ballots, but what about the ones we can't count? We have entrusted that job to a company that refuses to tell people exactly how its hardware and software works.

Voting machines are not digital magic. Coming up with a machine that goes "Click" -> one for this guy, "Click" -> one for that guy is not complicated. I mean, these are the people you trust your money to every day (ATMs). However, when you use an ATM, you have a paper receipt and bank records to confirm every transaction. In most cases, there is not receipt or record (available to the public) that shows that every Diebold vote was counted accurately.

I've been listening to the radio all morning, and no one is mentioning this. The provisional ballots  are important, but so are the touch-screen votes.

Blackboxvoting.org sums up one of the major problems (besides the overall open-source issue): "The central servers are installed on unpatched, open Windows computers and use RAS (Remote Access Server) to connect to the voting machines through telephone lines. Since RAS is not adequately protected, anyone in the world, even terrorists, who can figure out the server's phone number can change vote totals without being detected by observers."

For non-geeks, let me translate: "THIS IS BAD."

First of all, they are using Windows. When you think of "security", do you think of the word "Windows"? Yeeaaaahhh . . . . Notorious for crashing, full of security flaws, and closed source, so we can't find the errors and fix them. We just have to trust that the vendor will do it. It would not be that difficult to come up with a Linux-based machine that would be cheaper, more reliable, and that would have source code that any developer could review.

This does NOT mean that open source voting software would be less secure. On the contrary: since anyone can review it, holes are reported much more quickly, and patched more quickly. The developers become MUCH more accountable than closed-source vendors are.

So why didn't we do it that way? $$$$$, ignorance, and fear.

I've yammered on enough for now, but I would very much like to see what everyone else thinks of this issue.

by mamalowman 2004-11-03 06:42AM | 0 recs
Re: Your vote counts - if Diebold wants it to
Here is the key problem-we in at least CA have fought the Reps when they suggest that voters ought ot show ID to vote-why? Because it serves us-we probably pick up some illgal aliens voting-sorry but that is the truth.

We can't push for voter reform when we oppose it indirectly because it helps us

by Topcat 2004-11-03 07:31AM | 0 recs
Influences
Do popular Hollywood movies reach the south at all? How about evangelicals? I'm trying to figure out how a country that seems so cultrally and morally bankrupt(in terms of what goes over the airwaves in comparisson to the "Value" issues that always seem to get passed) votes so overwhelmingly  conservative. Any thoughts?
by Wiseprince 2004-11-03 07:21AM | 0 recs
Ohio
Why weren't the lawyers on the ground last night fighting for every vote.  It was always going to be about Ohio.  The campaign new that.  We knew it a year ago.  Hell we knew it three years ago, especially with Jeb's ability to hijack Florida.  Would Rove have conceded with 130,000 vote margin and any chance to get it down to recount level or even to stall for time and go to Plan C, or Plan D, because there is always a Plan D.  Where was our plan D, or plan C or B or even A for that matter.  They were always going to try to take Ohio by any means necessary.  Without it, Bush loses.  What was the Kerry Campaign and the DNC thinking?
by bushistheantichrist 2004-11-03 12:03PM | 0 recs

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