Latest Exit Polls from Slate

by Chris Bowers, Tue Nov 02, 2004 at 12:03:39 PM EST

FL: 50/49 - KERRY
OH: 52/47 - KERRY
MI: 51/48 - KERRY
PA: 58/42 - KERRY
IA: 50/48 - KERRY
WI: 53/47 - KERRY
MN: 57/42 - KERRY
NH: 58/41 - KERRY
ME: 55/44 - KERRY
NM: 49/49 - TIE

NV: 48/49 - BUSH
CO: 49/50 - BUSH
AR: 45/54 - BUSH
NC: 47/53 - BUSH

Yes, these are salty, but exciting!

Tags: General 2008 (all tags)

Comments

12 Comments

Sort by

permalink

Are updates cumulative?

When we see a 4om exit poll, is that the results from poll opening until 4pm or from the last exit results (say noon-ish) until 4pm?

I ask because the Kerry leads are smaller at 4pm than earlier and worry that Democrats all voted early due to pent up anger with Bush. But, maybe D's are voting in two waves, early and late. Or maybe I'm just trying to hard to find meaning in meaningless exit polls...

by ksb 2004-11-02 12:12PM | 0 recs

permalink

Re: Are updates cumulative?

This is Slate poll.

FL number is the same as their first one.

their last OH number show Kerry only lead by 1 or 2 points, I cannot remember.

Great day for Kerry!

by ddPCR 2004-11-02 12:19PM | 0 recs

permalink

Re: Are updates cumulative?

From what I hear, dems traditionally tend to vote in the afternoon -- after work. That is one reason why the early polls favoring Kerry were somewhat surprising. Bush did way better than Gore last time in the early exit polls (according to Kos). Sp, you may be right -- we may see another democratic push of voters in the late afternoon.

by coffee cup 2004-11-02 12:29PM | 0 recs

permalink

Why MI is so close?

I thought Kerry had a 10 points lead there.

by ddPCR 2004-11-02 12:17PM | 0 recs

permalink

Up 16 in PA and 17 in NH?

Hard to believe. Looks good overall, but I'm not putting too much stock in it.

by Haggai 2004-11-02 12:20PM | 0 recs

permalink

The link does not show this.

It shows an earlier exit poll at Slate.

But I'll take your word for it if you saw it with your own two eyes.

by bushsucks 2004-11-02 12:21PM | 0 recs

permalink

What about WV & VA?

WV and VA?

by pleunis67 2004-11-02 12:27PM | 0 recs

permalink

Look at Zogby

Look at Zogby
Bush
213

Kerry
311

Too Close To Call
Nevada (5)

Too Close To Call
Colorado (9)

by Nick 2004-11-02 12:29PM | 0 recs

permalink

Network calls of States.

Any idea how early networks will call states that a clear lead is there??? AR in Charlotte.

by AR in Charlotte 2004-11-02 12:30PM | 0 recs

permalink

What about NJ?

I thought NJ was a swing state!

by warp resident 2004-11-02 12:31PM | 0 recs

permalink

It's too early!!!!!!

Good Start but ....

FINISH HIM!!!!!!! (note primal scream)

by DPG 2004-11-02 12:36PM | 0 recs

permalink

Anybody know where the Bush zealots are blogging?

I'm extremely heartened by what I'm reading here, but I would love to look at what spin the other side is spouting. It's best to know one's opponent! Does anybody have a link to a site on the other side that is similar to mydd.com? I'd like to see what they have to say about the Slate #s and other stuff.

by bushwhacker 2004-11-02 12:52PM | 0 recs